Daniel Paleka's Newsletter

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Writing in public is still underrated

Underrated reasons to be thankful: AI research edition

Even superhuman AI forecasters are only as good as your questions

What’s the deal with RL and forecasting?

Contra Dwarkesh on RL sample-efficiency via information theory

16 questions about reinforcement learning

Obvious ways RL can fail

The two types of LLM preferences

October 2025 AI safety news: Adaptive attacks, Tokenization, Impossible tasks

You are going to get priced out of the best AI coding tools

A/B testing could lead LLMs to retain users instead of helping them

Memetic optimization #1: brainrot

March-April 2025 safety news: Antidistillation, Cultural alignment, Dark patterns

GPT-4o draws itself as a consistent type of guy

January-February 2025 safety news: Emergent misalignment, SAE sanity checks, Utility engineering

You should delay engineering-heavy research in light of R&D automation

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